112 days before the Super Bowl, not as hot as you thought

Super Bowl = 112, SB winners always seem to win 112 days before the Super Bowl

I went on another blog to promote this blog, hey sorry, but I think
I'm doing some pretty solid, clear, clean, and excellent work, and anyway,
I found a discussion of the idea that the Super Bowl winners always seem
to win 112 days before the Super Bowl, and that this was relevant
because "Super Bowl" = 112...

...Well I quickly realized that 112 days is evenly divisible by 7.

In other words, 112 days before the Super Bowl, every single year,
there is a FULL SUNDAY of NFL games...

...therefore, every single year, AT LEAST 26 teams out of 32 (modern times)
will be playing....

...and so at least 13 teams will win 112 days before the SB, every year.

You see what I mean here? The vast majority of the league
is playing 112 days before the SB, and half of that majority
will win 112 days before the SB.

BUT still, IF we found that EVERY SINGLE YEAR, the SB winner
wins on the Sunday that is 112 days before the SB, well that would
narrow the field of possible SB teams down pretty good....

I went back to Super Bowl 1, and here's what I found.
(raw data posted at end).


WINS 112 days before the SB
Out of 52 Super Bowls, the SB winner has won on the Sunday
that is 112 days before the SB:

38 times.

38 out of 52. About 73% of the time.

Now, 4 of those times it was 111 days plus the end date to get 112.

So just straight, w/o counting the end date it was only

34 times. Or 65% of the time.

And that would mean 4 times on the 111 day + end date,
or 7% of the time.

LOSES 112 days before the SB
Out of 52 Super Bowls, the SB winner has lost on the Sunday
that is 112 days before the SB:

8 times.

8 out of 52. About 15% of the time.

DOESN'T PLAY 112 days before the SB
Out of 52 Super Bowls, the SB winner did not even play on the Sunday
that is 112 days before the SB:

5 times.

5 out of 52. About 9% of the time.

((9 if we count those 111 days + end date ones, or 17% of the time))

TIES 112 days before the SB
Out of 52 Super Bowls, the SB winner tied on the Sunday
that is 112 days before the SB:

1 time.

1 out of 52. About 2% of the time.

((the tie was SB09. score: 35-35))


bye week
The times the SB winner was on their BYE week
on the Sunday that is 112 days before the SB:

SB25, SB41, SB43...

The other two times the SB winner did not play, one was
because of a strike: SB17, and the other was a year ago, SB52,
when Philadelphia played on the Thursday of that week.


longest streak
There was quite a streak there at one point...

SB26 to SB39 every winner played on the 112 days Sunday.

14 years in a row.


current streak
If you want to count the SB52 winner, even though they didn't play
111 or 112 days before SB52, but because they played on 10/12 (112)

then the current streak is 7 in a row...

SB46 to SB52...

But if you don't count SB52 with the 10/12 date manipulating,
then there was a streak of 6 in a row...

SB46 to SB51...

...that was snapped with SB52.


conclusion
So, considering that it is always a full Sunday of games,
and that there are plenty of examples where the SB winner
lost or didn't even play, I don't really think this can be used
as an eliminator or a confident tool to narrow the candidates.

BUT 73% is 73%...

week 6 this season
So let's check who wins on week 6 this year, and
it's about a 73% chance that one of those 12-14 teams or so
will wind up winning the SB...

The fact that the one tie was SB09, and the score was 35-35,
and that this is a 9 heavy year ('18 season, 99th NFL season,
starting on 9/9, etc...) and that it is SB53 (53 / 35...), I would
be very intrigued if any teams tie in week 6...

Lions and Saints are on BYE for week 6 this year.
Eagles and Giants play on Thursday and so are not viable for
the 111 or 112 days, and the date is not 10/12...

So 14 games are on the 111 or 112 days, and that's 28 teams...

barring any ties, we'd be down to 14 teams, 13 on the straight 112...


Since more modern times, when they play later in the year and
the 112 days mark comes in week 5 or 6...

...only 2 times did the SB winner not improve to a winning record
on the 112 days Sunday...

SB36 New England won and only improved to 2-3...
SB45 Green Bay won and only improved to 3-3...

So that could narrow those 14 teams down further...
See who wins on week 6, and improves/stays on a winning record.


And then if you want to consider the week 6 losers,
but narrow them down, only once has the SB winner lost
on the 112 days Sunday, and fell to a losing record:

SB15, Oakland lost and fell to 2-3.

So any week 6 losers that are on a losing record are probably
definitely out.

And any week 6 winners that do not have a winning record
are probably out...




OH, one more thing... SB53 is prime so let's check this history with prime SBs.
Of all prime SBs the SB winner either DID NOT PLAY or WON on the 112 days Sunday
The one SB winner to lose,  it was on the 111 days + end date. That was SB05.

Well, here's the raw data, and cheers!

112 days before Super Bowl 1 [9/25/66 week 3]
Green Bay WON, beat the Rams 24-13 (37 total, PD: 9) improved to 3-0


112 days before Super Bowl 2 [9/24/67 week 2]
Green Bay WON, beat the Bears 13-10 (23, PD: 3) improved to 1-0-1


112 days before Super Bowl 3 [9/22/68 week 2]
New York Jets WON, beat the Patriots 47-31 (78, PD: 16) improved to 2-0


112 days before Super Bowl 4 [9/21/69 week 2]
Kansas City WON, beat the Patriots 31-0 (31, PD: 31) improved to 2-0


112 days before Super Bowl 5 [9/28/70 week 2] **111 days + end date**
Baltimore LOST to the Chiefs 24-44 (68, PD: 20) fell to 1-1
-----no 112s in date, or date nummerologies, or anything-----


112 days before Super Bowl 6 [9/26/71 week 2]
Dallas WON, beat the Eagles 42-7 (49, PD: 35) improved to 2-0


112 days before Super Bowl 7 [9/24/72 week 2]
Miami WON, beat the Oilers 34-13 (47, PD: 21) improved to 2-0


112 days before Super Bowl 8 [9/23/73 week 2]
Miami LOST to the Raiders,7-12 (19, PD: 5) fell to 1-1
-----first straight LOSS on straight 112 days before SB-----


112 days before Super Bowl 9 [9/22/74 week 2]
Pittsburgh TIED the Broncos 35-35 (70) fell to 1-0-1


112 days before Super Bowl 10 [9/28/75 week 2]
Pittsburgh LOST to the Bills 21-30 (51, PD: 9) fell to 1-1


112 days before Super Bowl 11 [9/20/76 week 2] **111 days + end date**
Oakland WON, beat the Chiefs 24-21 (45, PD: 3) improved to 2-0
-----no 112s in date, or date numerologies, or anything-----


112 days before Super Bowl 12 [9/25/77 week 2]
Dallas WON, beat the Giants 41-21 (62, PD: 20) improved to 2-0


112 days before Super Bowl 13 [10/1/78 week 5]
Pittsburgh WON, beat the Jets 28-17 (45, PD: 11) improved to 5-0


112 days before Super Bowl 14 [9/30/79 week 5]
Pittsburgh LOST to the Eagles 14-17 (31, PD: 3) fell to 4-1


112 days before Super Bowl 15 [10/5/80 week 5]
Oakland LOST to the Chiefs 17-31 (48, PD: 14) fell to 2-3


112 days before Super Bowl 16 [10/4/81 week 5]
San Francisco WON, beat the Redskins 30-17 (47, PD: 13) improved to 3-2


112 days before Super Bowl 17 [10/10/82]
THE NFL DID NOT PLAY... STRIKE


112 days before Super Bowl 18 [10/2/83 week 5]
Oakland LOST to the Redskins 35-37 (72, PD: 2) fell to 4-1


112 days before Super Bowl 19 [9/30/84 week 5]
San Francisco WON, beat the Falcons 14-5 (19, PD: 9) improved to 5-0


112 days before Super Bowl 20 [10/6/85 week 5]
Chicago WON, beat the Buccaneers 27-19 (46, PD: 8) improved to 5-0


112 days before Super Bowl 21 [10/5/86 week 5]
New York Giants WON, beat the Cardinals 13-6 (19, PD: 7) improved to 4-1


112 days before Super Bowl 22 [10/11/87 week 5]
Washington WON, beat the Giants 38-12 (50, PD: 26) improved to 3-1


112 days before Super Bowl 23 [10/2/88 week 5]
San Francisco WON, beat the Lions 20-13 (33, PD: 7) improved to 4-1


112 days before Super Bowl 24 [10/8/89 week 5]
San Francisco WON, beat the Saints 24-20 (44, PD: 4) improved to 4-1


112 days before Super Bowl 25 [10/7/90 week 5]
New York Giants DID NOT PLAY, were on BYE WEEK
-----did not win on 10/12 or anything like that-----


112 days before Super Bowl 26 [10/6/91 week 6]
Washington WON, beat the Bears 20-7 (27, PD: 13) improved to 6-0


112 days before Super Bowl 27 [10/11/92 week 6]
Dallas WON, beat the Seahawks 27-0 (27) improved to 4-1


112 days before Super Bowl 28 [10/10/93 week 6]
Dallas WON, beat the Colts 27-3 (30, PD: 24) improved to 3-2


112 days before Super Bowl 29 [10/9/94 week 6]
San Francisco WON, beat the Lions 27-21 (48, PD: 6) improved to 4-2


112 days before Super Bowl 30 [10/8/95 week 6]
Dallas WON, beat the Packers 34-24 (58, PD: 10) improved to 5-1


112 days before Super Bowl 31 [10/6/96 week 6]
Green Bay WON, beat the Bears 37-6 (43, PD: 31) improved to 5-1


112 days before Super Bowl 32 [10/6/97 week 6] **111 days + end date**
Denver WON, beat the Patriots 34-13 (47, PD: 21) improved to 6-0
-----no 112s in date, or date numerologies, or anything-----


112 days before Super Bowl 33 [10/11/98 week 6]
Denver WON, beat the Seahawks 21-16 (37, PD: 5) improved to 6-0


112 days before Super Bowl 34 [10/10/99 week 5]
St. Louis WON, beat the 49ers 42-20 (62, PD: 22) improved to 4-0


112 days before Super Bowl 35 [10/8/00 week 6]
Baltimore WON, beat the Jaguars 15-10 (25, PD: 5) improved to 5-1


112 days before Super Bowl 36 [10/14/01 week 5]
New England WON, beat the Chargers 29-26 (55, PD: 3) improved to 2-3


112 days before Super Bowl 37 [10/6/02 week 5]
Tampa Bay WON, beat the Falcons 20-6 (26, PD: 14) improved to 4-1


112 days before Super Bowl 38 [10/12/03 week 6]
New England WON, beat the Giants 17-6 (23, PD: 11) improved to 4-2


112 days before Super Bowl 39 [10/17/04 week 6]
New England WON, beat the Seahawks 30-20 (50, PD: 10) improved to 5-0


112 days before Super Bowl 40 [10/16/05 week 6]
Pittsburgh LOST to the Jaguars 17-23 (40, PD: 6) fell to 3-2


112 days before Super Bowl 41 [10/15/06 week 6]
Indianapolis DID NOT PLAY, were on BYE WEEK
-----did not win on 10/12 or anything like that-----


112 days before Super Bowl 42 [10/14/07 week 6] **111 days + end date**
New York Giants WON, beat the Falcons 31-10 (41, PD: 21) improved to 4-2
-----no 112s in date, or date numerologies, or anything-----


112 days before Super Bowl 43 [10/12/08 week 6]
Pittsburgh DID NOT PLAY, were on BYE WEEK
-----did not win on 10/12 or anything like that-----


112 days before Super Bowl 44 [10/18/09 week 6]
New Orleans WON, beat the Giants 48-27 (75, PD: 19) improved to 5-0


112 days before Super Bowl 45 [10/17/10 week 6]
Green Bay LOST to the Dolphins 20-23 (43, PD: 3) fell to 3-3


112 days before Super Bowl 46 [10/16/11 week 6]
New York Giants WON, beat the Bills 27-24 (51, PD: 3) improved to 4-2


112 days before Super Bowl 47 [10/14/12 week 6]
Baltimore WON, beat the Cowboys 31-29 (60, PD: 2) improved to 5-1


112 days before Super Bowl 48 [10/13/13 week 6]
Seattle WON, beat the Titans 20-13 (33, PD: 7) improved to 5-1


112 days before Super Bowl 49 [10/12/14 week 6]
New England WON, beat the Bills 37-22 (59, PD: 15) improved to 4-2


112 days before Super Bowl 50 [10/18/15 week 6]
Denver WON, beat the Browns 26-23 (49, PD: 3) improved to 6-0


112 days before Super Bowl 51 [10/16/16 week 6]
New England WON, beat the Bengals 35-17 (52, PD: 18) improved to 5-1


112 days before Super Bowl 52 [10/15/17 week 6]
Philadelphia DID NOT PLAY... played Thursday that week
-----won on 10/12 (112) during week 6-----