UPDATE to my EVERY NFL WEEK 5 GAME post.
I simply looked at the head-to-head data and checked
if anything jumped out... See my previous post.
The Sunday games are about 28 amd 55.
TN @ BUF
A double 28 on huge 28 day.
TN wins they get their 28th series win, reg. season.
BUF wins then TN stays on 28 series wins, all time.
Muddled.
However, it's the 23rd reg. season meeting @BUF
As I said, Mariota can get his 23rd all time win,
stay on 23 reg. season losses, and it's 23 days from his bday.
Makes me favor TN more.
ATL @ PIT
ATL has NEVER won @PIT
0-7
Could win and become 1-7 on 10/7...
Makes me favor ATL a little more.
BAL @ CLE
Muddled- BAL win they improve to 30-9 in the series
after the 39th meeting.
However, CLE could get their 10th series win
"ten" = 39.
Makes me favor CLE a little more.
NYG @ CAR
NYG win they improve to 5-5 in the series, reg. season
on a date with 55...
Doesn't make me switch my pick though. Almost.
MIA @ CIN
CIN wins they get their 7th win in the series
on the 7th...
Previous meeting was that super rare/weird 22-7 score.
Don't know what that means but.
OAK @ LAC
Interesting, OAK has never beaten the "LA" Chargers...
0-4
Could become 0-5 on a date with 55...
Not enough to make me switch my pick though.
MIN @ PHI
This is the 28th all time meeting...
And as already stated, "Cousins" = 28
and can get his 28th win...
Also the 14th reg. season meeting @PHI
MIN win they get their 14th win in the series.
Makes me favor MIN more, almost to lead pipe lock status.
There ya go.
GUESS WHAT?
Didn't look at head-to-head data for the IND @ NE TNF game
TNF was all about 52 for me... see my post.
NE won and got their 52nd win in the series
LOL.
I probably still would've picked NE
Luck has NEVER beaten NE/Brady... I figured he was due.
Oh well.
Cheers!
look back to your august 5 post on week 6. the super bowl contenders are playing in the late games.
ReplyDeleteDid you read my August 11th post?
DeleteIn History, the chances of the SB WINNER playing in the 4pm slot are 20%... If you count the SNF 8pm game then it's still only 22%...
20/22% of the time the SB WINNER played in the 4pm/8pm slot...
It's MUCH MORE LIKELY that the SB WINNER plays in the 1pm slot. That is 58% of the time!
And then from within the 1pm slot, the SB WINNER, plays in the 1pm slot AND WINS 50% of the time...
...they play in the 1pm slot AND LOSE
ONLY 8% of the time!
So the odds/history says that the winner of SB 53 will be playing in the 1pm slot this week, and winning.
Even looking at the SB LOSER...
they have only played in the 4pm slot 35% of the time.
furthermore, the SB LOSER has only played in the 4pm slot and LOST 8% of the time.
So anyone losing in the 4pm slot this week is most likely not even making the SB.
BOTH SB TEAMS have only played in the 4pm slot 6% of the time.
And then looking at the records after this week. Anything .500 or worse is really bad.
Any team that's playing in any time slot this Sunday and that loses and then has a .500 or worse record, if they make the SB it would BE THE FIRST.
So, big elimination week for a lot of teams,
and a big boost for any team WINNING in the 1pm slot and having a winning record afterwards.
I am not looking at the 4pm slot for the SB.
Not impossible obviously, but would be bucking history.
When thinking of "Super Bowl contenders" don't just think the hot teams at the time, and be following the media spin... or however you want to say it. Think back a year- at one point the Eagles were being laughed at, think back to wild card teams like the Ravens and Giants... No, the "contenders" are not just the hot ones right now.
Cheers!